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Coming conferences

The Thomas Guggenheim Program in the History of Economic Thought and The Economics Department at Ben-Gurion University of the Negev

are honored to host:

The IVth Thomas Guggenheim Conference in the History of Economic Thought: Expectations: Theory and Applications in Historical Perspectives

Rotem Hall, Zlotowski Student Administration Building, December 18-19, 2017

Day I: Monday, December 18th
10:30-12:30 A tour at Abraham's Well + light lunch.
12:30-13:00 Gathering.
13:00-14:30 Session A: History of Expectation Models.
Chair: Arie Arnon, Ben-Gurion University.
Mauro Boianovsky Universidade de Brasilia Discussant: Warren Young Between Pigou and Keynes: Champernowne on employment and expectations
Cristina Marcuzzo Sapienza University of RomeDiscussant: Robert Dimand The Cambridge approach to expectations: The legacy of Marshall, Keynes and Kahn.
Amos Witztum London School of EconomicsDiscussant: Dror Goldberg Expectations in classical school: some lessons for today.
14:30-14:45 Coffee break.
14:45-16:15 Session B: Growth, Expectations and political economy.
Chair: Robert Dimand, Brock University
Muriel Dal-Pont Legrand Université Nice Sophia AntipolisDiscussant: Arie Arnon Expectations and stability in the early growth models: a short history of growth economics.
Warren Young Bar-Ilan UniversityDiscussant: Michael Bordo Expectations and Planning at the FED: 1939-1941.
Alex Cukierman Interdisciplinary CenterDiscussant: Assaf Razin International evidence on professional interest rate forecasts: The impact of forecasting ability (joint with Thomas Lustenberger).
16:15-16:30 Coffee break.
16:30-18:15 At Senate Hall - Guggenheim Award and Lecture: Expectations: Theory and Applications in Historical Perspectives Duncan Foley, New School for Social Research.
Chair: Jimmy Weinblatt, Former Rector of Ben-Gurion University.
19:00 Dinner at Dinner at Arabica



Day II: Tuesday, December 19th
9:00-10:30 Session C: Methods and Models: Controversies in historical perspective.
Chair: Esther-Mirjam Sent, Radboud University.
Harald Hagemann University of HohenheimDiscussant: James Forder Inflation Expectations and the Phillips Curve: Then and Now.
Robert Dimand Brock UniversityDiscussant: Mauro Boianovsy Expectations in Tobin's Macroeconomics: The Fisherian and Keynesian Roots of Tobin's q and Corridor of Stability
Sylvie Rivot University of StrasbourgDiscussant: Muriel Dal Pont Legrand Expectations Mismatches and the Great Depression.
10:30-10:45 Coffee break
10:45-12:15 Session D: Expectations in Theory and Reality.
Chair: Elise Brezis, Bar-Ilan University
Esther-Mirjam Sent Radboud UniversityDiscussant: Sylvie Rivot Sargent and Expectations
James Forder University of OxfordDiscussant: Harald Hagemann Expectations' in the debate over rules and discretion, 1948-1998.
Assaf Razin Cornell University, Tel Aviv UniversityDiscussant: Alex Cukierman Expectations in Israel: triumphing hyperinflation and heading off depression.
12:15-13:30 Lunch
13:30-15:00 Session E: Expectations in Economic History.
Chair: Michael Bordo Rutgers University
Kim Oosterlinck Université Libre de BruxellesDiscussant: Nathan Sussman The War That Bond Markets Didn’t Perceive as Such (The Prices of South African Bonds During the Second Anglo-Boer War: An Extreme Case of Resilience) (with Marie van Gansbeke)
Dror Goldberg The Open University of IsraelDiscussant: Amos Witztum This time is NOT different: Expectations and Monetary Innovation in 1691 Massachusetts.
Olivier Accominotti London School of EconomicsDiscussant: Nadav Ben-Zeev(Ben-Gurion University) The Dawes Bonds, Selective Default and International Trade.
15:00-15:15 Coffee break.
15:15-17:00 Panel Session: Expectations and economic history: explanations or fantasy?
Chair:Kim Oosterlinck
Participants: Michael Bordo Rutgers University
Alex Cukierman Interdisciplinary Center.
Nathan Sussman Hebrew University.
END OF CONFERENCE