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Coming conferences

The Thomas Guggenheim Program in the History of Economic Thought and The Economics Department at Ben-Gurion University of the Negev

are honored to host:

The IVth Thomas Guggenheim Conference in the History of Economic Thought: Expectations: Theory and Applications in Historical Perspectives

Rotem Hall, Zlotowski Student Administration Building, December 18-19, 2017

Day I: Monday, December 18th
10:30-12:30 A tour at Abraham's Well + light lunch.
12:30-13:00 Gathering.
13:00-14:30 Session A: History of Expectation Models.
Chair: Arie Arnon, Ben-Gurion University.
Mauro Boianovsky Universidade de Brasilia Cambridge, expectations and the natural rate of unemployment hypothesis.
Cristina Marcuzzo Sapienza University of Rome The Cambridge approach to expectations: The legacy of Marshall, Keynes and Kahn.
Amos Witztum London School of Economics Expectations in classical school: some lessons for today.
14:30-14:45 Coffee break.
14:45-16:15 Session B: Growth, Expectations and political economy.
Chair: Elise Brezise, Bar-Ilan University.
Muriel Dal-Pont Legrand Université Nice Sophia Antipolis Expectations and stability in the early growth models: a short history of growth economics.
Warren Young Bar-Ilan University Economic and Political Expectations at the FED: 1939-1945.
Alex Cukierman Interdisciplinary Center How do professional forecasters form expectations about future interest rates? (joint with Thomas Lustenberger).
16:15-16:30 Coffee break.
16:30-18:15 At Senate Hall - Guggenheim Award and Lecture: Expectations: Theory and Applications in Historical Perspectives Duncan Foley, New School for Social Research.
Chair: Jimmy Weinblatt, Former Rector of Ben-Gurion University.
19:00 Dinner at yakuta, moroccan restaurant.



Day II: Tuesday, December 19th
9:00-10:30 Session C: Methods and Models: Controversies in historical perspective.
Chair: Esther-Mirjam Sent, Radboud University.
Harald Hagemann University of Hohenheim Inflation Expectations and the Phillips Curve: Then and Now.
Robert Dimand Brock University Expectations in Tobin's Macroeconomics: The Fisherian and Keynesian Roots of Tobin's q and Corridor of Stability
Sylvie Rivot University of Strasbourg Expectations Mismatches and the Great Depression.
10:30-10:45 Coffee break
10:45-12:15 Session D: Expectations in Theory and Reality.
Chair: Warren Young, Bar-Ilan University
Esther-Mirjam Sent Radboud University Sargent and Expectations
James Forder University of Oxford Expectations' in the debate over rules and discretion, 1948-1998.
Assaf Razin Cornell University, Tel Aviv University Expectations in Israel: triumphing hyperinflation and heading off depression.
12:15-13:30 Lunch
13:30-15:00 Session E: Expectations in Economic History.
Chair: Michael Bordo, Rutgers University
Kim Oosterlinck Université Libre de Bruxelles Was the Emergence of the International Gold Standard Expected? Melodramatic Evidence from Indian Government Securities.
Dror Goldberg The Open University of Israel This time is NOT different: Expectations and Monetary Innovation in 1691 Massachusetts.
Olivier Accominotti London School of Economics The Dawes Bonds, Selective Default and International Trade.
15:00-15:15 Coffee break.
15:15-17:00 Panel Session: Expectations and economic history: explanations or fantasy?
Chair: Karine van der Beek, Ben-Gurion University.
Participants: Dror Goldberg Open University.
Alex Cukierman Interdisciplinary Center.
Nathan Sussman Hebrew University and Bank of Israel.
END OF CONFERENCE